Seat record · Vidhan Sabha

Muzaffar Nagar

Assembly constituency 14 (GEN) · Uttar Pradesh · 5 contests, 2002–2022

State boardUttar Pradesh 2022

Held by

BJP

Kapil Dev Agarwal · 2022

Contests

2002–2022

Parties that won

Across all 5 contests

Median margin

6.5pp

Over all 5 contests

Margin 2022

18,694votes

8.3 pp of votes polled

Turnout 2022

62.4%

Seat median 56.1% over 5 contests

[01]Winners and margins

Oldest first · bars scaled to the widest margin, 8.9 pp

2002
0.6 pp
Gulab DeviBharatiya Janata Partyby 700 votes
2007
6.5 pp
Girish ChandraBahujan Samaj Partyby 7,282 votes
2012
8.9 pp
Chitranjan SwaroopSamajwadi Partyby 15,002 votes
2017
5.0 pp
Kapil Dev AgarwalBharatiya Janata Partyby 10,704 votes
2022
8.3 pp
Kapil Dev AgarwalBharatiya Janata Partyby 18,694 votes

[02]Parties on this seat

Top 8 by wins · 30 parties and independents

BJP 3 of 560% won · 1 second BSP 1 of 520% won SP 1 of 425% won · 3 second IND 0 of 250% won INC 0 of 30% won RLD 0 of 30% won · 1 second ABHM 0 of 20% won BLSP 0 of 20% won

Won of candidatures, counted from the published candidate lines; independents are counted together.

[03]Computed insights

Arithmetic · working shown

BJP won 3 of 5 contests on record (60.0%).
wins by party: BJP 3 · BSP 1 · SP 1 · 3 ÷ 5 = 60.0%
The seat changed party 3 times in 4 successive pairs of contests.
2002 BJP → 2007 BSP → 2012 SP → 2017 BJP → 2022 BJP
The closest contest was 2002 at 0.6 pp; the widest 2012 at 8.9 pp.
min / max of margin % over 5 contests
The 2022 margin of 8.3 pp was 1.8 pp above the seat's median of 6.5 pp.
8.3 − 6.5 = +1.8
Turnout moved from 52.8% in 2002 to 62.4% in 2022, +9.6 pp.
62.4 − 52.8 = +9.6
The name Kapil Dev Agarwal appears as winner in 2 contests: 2017 and 2022.
winner names matched across years, ignoring spacing and punctuation

Each line is arithmetic over the contests on this page.

[04]Turnout by year

White mark: seat median, 56.1%

2002 52.8%

2007 45.6%

2012 56.1%

2017 64.2%

2022 62.4%

[05]Every contest

5 rows · most recent first

Every Vidhan Sabha contest on record for Muzaffar Nagar, Uttar Pradesh
Year	Winner	Party	Margin	Margin %	Turnout %
2022	Kapil Dev Agarwal	Bharatiya Janata Party	18,694	8.3	62.4
2017	Kapil Dev Agarwal	Bharatiya Janata Party	10,704	5.0	64.2
2012	Chitranjan Swaroop	Samajwadi Party	15,002	8.9	56.1
2007	Girish Chandra	Bahujan Samaj Party	7,282	6.5	45.6
2002	Gulab Devi	Bharatiya Janata Party	700	0.6	52.8

Margin bar scaled to the widest margin, 18,694 votes

ContestsElection Commission of India, constituency-wise results · Vidhan Sabha · Muzaffar Nagar, Uttar Pradesh · 5 contests · retrieval date not recorded in the results database

Party recordCounted from the published candidate lines for this seat · retrieval date not recorded in the results database

Medians and countsComputed from the contests on this page when the page was built