Constituency result · Vidhan Sabha · 2017

Muzaffar Nagar

Assembly constituency 14 (GEN) · Uttar Pradesh

State boardUttar Pradesh 2017

[01]Result · 2017

#14 · GEN

Poll date4 Mar 2017

Contestants16

Electors3,34,307

Votes polled2,14,469

Turnout64.2%

NOTA1,1330.3% of votes

WinnerKapil Dev AgarwalBharatiya Janata Party97,83845.4% of votes

MARGIN10,704 votes · 5.0 pp97,838 − 87,134

Runner-upGaurav Swarup Bansal Samajwadi Party87,13440.4% of votes

BJP 52.9% of top-two votesSP 47.1%

All candidates 16

01 Kapil Dev AgarwalBJP97,838 45.4%
02 Gaurav Swarup BansalSP87,134 40.4%
03 Rakesh Kumar SharmaBSP21,038 9.8%
04 Payal MaheshwariRLD5,640 2.6%
05 SangitaIND1,008 0.5%
06 Murtaza SalmaniCPI491 0.2%
07 Shahzama KhanIND249 0.1%
08 Zakir Ali RanaIND240 0.1%
09 Raj KishorIND199 0.1%
10 Krishan Pal SinghBLSP177 0.1%
11 JamshedIND131 0.1%
12 Karan Singh SainiJP92 0.0%
13 Reenu Alias SakshiABHM81 0.0%
14 BabitaBRJ55 0.0%
15 Sanjay KumarBJDT52 0.0%
16 Rishi RamIND44 0.0%

Turnout 64.2%

Male 1.82 lakh54.3% Female 1.53 lakh45.7%

Share of 3,34,307 electors

Sex ratiofemales per 1,000 males841
NOTAreported alongside the total1,133 · 0.3%
State median turnoutmedian of 403 seats, 201760.5%
ReconciliationΣ 16 candidates = 2,14,469Verified

Seat history 2002–2022

2002
0.6 pp
Gulab DeviBharatiya Janata Party
2007
6.5 pp
Girish ChandraBahujan Samaj Party
2012
8.9 pp
Chitranjan SwaroopSamajwadi Party
2017
5.0 pp
Kapil Dev AgarwalBharatiya Janata Party
2022
8.3 pp
Kapil Dev AgarwalBharatiya Janata Party

Winning margin in percentage points; bars scaled to the widest, 8.9 pp.

[02]Computed insights

Arithmetic · working shown

Third-placed BSP polled 21,038 votes, 2.0× the 10,704-vote margin.
21,038 ÷ 10,704 = 2.0
The top two polled 86.2% of votes; the other 14 candidates 13.8% between them.
(97,838 + 87,134) ÷ 2,14,469 = 86.2% · 29,497 ÷ 2,14,469 = 13.8%
Turnout of 64.2% was 3.7 pp above the state's median seat (60.5%).
64.2 − 60.5 = +3.7
The margin narrowed from 8.9 pp in 2012 to 5.0 pp.
5.0 − 8.9 = −3.9 pp
The seat changed hands: SP in 2012, BJP in 2017.
2012 SP · 2017 BJP

Each line is arithmetic over the figures on this page.

[03]Reconciliation

Verified

Candidate votesΣ 16 candidate lines2,14,469
NOTAreported alongside the total1,133
Published totalVotes polled2,14,469
Checkcandidates = total, NOTA outside itHolds

Candidate votes equal the published total. NOTA is reported alongside it.

Contest resultElection Commission of India, constituency-wise results · Vidhan Sabha 2017 · Uttar Pradesh · retrieval date not recorded in the results database

Candidates16 candidate lines from the same results · reconciliation: Verified

State median turnoutComputed from 403 seats on the Uttar Pradesh Vidhan Sabha 2017 board · retrieval date not recorded in the results database